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Economic calendar: NFP, CPI, PCE, FOMC — why they move everything

Economic releases are the appointments where markets change their mind within seconds. Knowing them prevents being surprised at the worst moment.

Here are the four families that weigh most on indices, rates, currencies, gold and oil.

Today’s snapshot

S&P 500 futures
7672.50
-0.42%
Nasdaq 100 futures
29175.00
+0.11%
DAX (last)
25181.65
-0.75%
CAC 40 (last)
7782.82
-0.36%
WTI crude
103.44
+3.99%
Gold
4010.00
-1.24%
EUR / USD
1.1202
+0.00%
VIX (volatility)
19.45
+2.21%

Reading of 2026-10-24 — quotes from public sources; they are not a forecast.

Read today’s market briefing →

Employment (NFP): the first Friday of the month

The US employment report (Non-Farm Payrolls) lands on the first Friday of the month, at 14:30 Paris time (13:30 UTC). It drives rates, hence the dollar, hence everything else.

The reaction almost always comes from the GAP between the release and the forecast, not from the number alone.

Inflation: CPI, then PCE

CPI measures consumer prices; PCE is the measure the Federal Reserve watches first, published later in the month.

Hotter-than-expected inflation pushes rates up, which often weighs on equities and supports the dollar.

Rates: FOMC, ECB and central banks

Rate decisions are usually anticipated; the press conference and the tone make the move. One word about the future pace (“hawkish” or “dovish”) moves more than a quarter point.

Those meetings are announced months ahead: they appear in the daily briefing calendar, with the published forecast when available.

Frequently asked questions

Why does the market move so much after a release?

Because positions are taken BEFORE, based on a forecast. When the actual number deviates, many positions must adjust at the same time.

Can these moments be avoided entirely?

Yes, by knowing them in advance: reduce size, or take no new position just before. It is a decision, not an obligation.

Do displayed forecasts commit anything?

No: a forecast is a consensus expectation, published by institutions. It is neither a guarantee nor advice.

Where can I see today’s calendar?

In the daily market briefing: today’s events, their time (Paris and UTC), their impact and their forecast.

Practise free in the simulator →

Read next

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Quote sources: public providers (CNBC, Yahoo Finance, CoinGecko, ECB, Forex Factory economic calendar). Educational content: not investment advice, not a forecast.

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